Economic updates
Our in-depth, independent reports cover the macroeconomic environment, the Saudi government’s annual budget, and Saudi Arabia’s monetary and financial developments, labor market, and inflation.
Quarterly Oil Market Update: (Volatility Returns to Oil Markets)
Oil market reportOil prices rose 10 percent quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2017, but volatility levels were up too, especially towards the end of the quarter. Although both OPEC and non-OPEC cuts are contributing to a reduction in global oil balances, global commercial oil inventories nevertheless remain high. Demand is expected to pick up in H2 2017.
Quarterly oil market update- Q2 2017: (OPEC Discipline Waning?)
Macroeconomic reportOil prices declined by 8 percent quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2017, the first such decline since Q1 2016. Higher OPEC oil production, mainly from Nigeria and Libya, plus continued rises in US oil production, were the primary triggers for the slump in prices. Going forward, doubts remain over OPECs ability to, firstly, maintain discipline amongst members and, secondly, prevent sizable increases in supply from Libya and Nigeria. In addition, as the recovery in US oil production continues, with US shale oil supply expected to achieve an all-time record high in the next few months, the risk to oil prices remains firmly skewed to the downside.
