Economic updates
Our in-depth, independent reports cover the macroeconomic environment, the Saudi government’s annual budget, and Saudi Arabia’s monetary and financial developments, labor market, and inflation.
Oil Market Update – Q1 2022: (Elevated oil prices here to stay)
Oil market reportAlthough OPEC data showed global oil demand grew by a healthy 5.3 percent year-on-year in Q1 2022, the agency recently revised down full year 2022 oil demand growth by 12 percent. It is also worth highlighting that OPEC’s current outlook on oil demand is based not only on the assumption that armed conflict in Ukraine does not escalate, but that it eases in the second half of the year.
The Saudi Economy in 2022
Macroeconomic reportSaudi Arabia’s economy will exhibit strong levels of growth in 2022, as pandemic related uncertainty and volatility seen over the last couple of years diminishes. More specifically, we see overall GDP expanding by 7.7 percent in 2022.
Macroeconomic Update – November 2021: (All is well, but risks remain)
Macroeconomic reportThe Saudi economy is on-track to record a very strong level of growth this year, and we expect this to continue into next year. More specifically, we see the Kingdom’s economy growing by 7 percent year-on-year in 2022 as a result of sizably higher oil sector growth and robust levels of non-oil growth.
Macroeconomic Update – August 2021: (The Saudi economy: on a very firm footing)
Macroeconomic reportBoth actual and flash estimates of the Kingdom’s GDP published by the General Authority for Statistics (GaStat) have shown strong non-oil sector growth in H1 2021. This combined with our expectation of continued growth in H2, has led us to upgrade our full year 2021 GDP forecast.
