Saudi Arabia’s economy will exhibit strong levels of growth in 2022, as pandemic related uncertainty and volatility seen over the last couple of years diminishes. More specifically, we see overall GDP expanding by 7.7 percent in 2022.
The Saudi economy is on-track to record a very strong level of growth this year, and we expect this to continue into next year. More specifically, we see the Kingdom’s economy growing by 7 percent year-on-year in 2022 as a result of sizably higher oil sector growth and robust levels of non-oil growth.
Both actual and flash estimates of the Kingdom’s GDP published by the General Authority for Statistics (GaStat) have shown strong non-oil sector growth in H1 2021. This combined with our expectation of continued growth in H2, has led us to upgrade our full year 2021 GDP forecast.
Looking out into 2021, while there is still a considerable degree of uncertainty as a result of the prevalence of COVID-19 and its potential impact on the non-oil economy, we nevertheless expect a broad-based recovery. Our forecast assumes between 15-20 percent of the adult population being vaccinated against COVID-19 by mid-2021, and 70 percent by year end. As such, we see a quarter-on-quarter improvement in the Saudi non-oil economy, with this recovery being more vigorous in the second half of 2021.
The G20 (or Group of Twenty) is an international forum for the governments of 19 countries and the European Union (EU). Founded in 1999, the G20 was set-up to discuss policy pertaining to the promotion of international financial stability.