Quarterly Oil Market Update - Q3 2017: (OPEC's big decision)
Oil Market ReportIn its latest monthly oil report, OPEC has raised global oil demand forecasts for the third consecutive month, underlining the bullish tone towards oil prices in recent months. These revisions combined with geopolitical developments in Iraq helped push Brent oil prices up 6 percent quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2017, to an average of $52 per barrel (pb). More recently, rising expectations related to OPEC rolling over cuts in an upcoming meeting and regional geopolitical tensions have pushed Brent crude oil prices back above $60 pb. Prices are likely to remain elevated in the near term due to continued regional geopolitical tensions.
Quarterly Oil Market Update: All eyes on OPEC and the US
Oil Market ReportCurrently, Brent oil is trading at around $55 per barrel, with little deviation from this level in the last two months. This stability in prices is mainly due to coordinated action by OPEC and some non-OPEC members, with January crude oil production data showing OPECs oil output was down, month-on-month, by 900 thousand barrels per day. Despite the relatively stable start to the year, oil price volatility is likely to re-emerge during 2017 as global oil markets face up to a rising risk of OPEC noncompliance to production cuts, upward revisions in US oil production, and policy initiatives from the new US administration.
Quarterly Oil Market Update: (Volatility Returns to Oil Markets)
Oil Market ReportOil prices rose 10 percent quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2017, but volatility levels were up too, especially towards the end of the quarter. Although both OPEC and non-OPEC cuts are contributing to a reduction in global oil balances, global commercial oil inventories nevertheless remain high. Demand is expected to pick up in H2 2017.
